Summary
- Sinners is projected to have an impressive -17% second-weekend drop at the box office.
- Analysts anticipate Sinners to reach at least a $100 million domestic total by the weekend.
- Sinners' success, with an A Cinemascore, could potentially lead to a $250 million domestic run despite new competition.
Ryan Coogler’s Sinners may have had a spectacular opening weekend at the box office, but it apparently won’t stop there as all roads are pointing to a no less historic second weekend.
Sinners is a vampire horror-thriller directed by Ryan Coogler and stars Michael B. Jordan—the fifth such collaboration between the duo—in the dual role of twin brothers Smoke and Stack. The film takes place in the 1930s American South and follows the brothers who return home to establish a juke joint, only for their community to be blindsided by a terrifying vampire invasion. Sinners opened with $45.6 million domestically and $15.6 million from 71 overseas markets, ousting fellow Warner Bros. Title A Minecraft Movie as the top dog in the U.S. The film is also second to Jordan Peele’s Nope ($44.4 million) in terms of the strongest domestic debuts for an original horror film, although the director still holds the ultimate record with US ($70.3 million).
Ryan Coogler's Sinners Proves He's The Perfect Choice To Reboot The X-Files
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Sinners Is Heading For A Historically Low Second-Weekend Drop
At Least $100 Million Domestic Total This Weekend, Analysts Say
Sinners' second-weekend drop would be softer than usual if predictions are any guide (and they were during the film’s opening). After grossing $10 million in its second Friday in theaters, a -48% drop, Deadline reports that the film is tracking to earn a $35 - $40 million total this weekend—$30 million by conservative estimates— in 3,347 theaters. With this unprecedented -17% second-weekend dip, Sinners adds two new box office medals to its already expanding records. First, it would be only 2% more than Get Out’s mind-blowing -15.4% drop in 2017 ($28.2 million, down from $33.4 million) and the undisputed best in the horror or R-rated genre post-COVID. Second, even going by conservative estimates, fans should expect a $107 million domestic cube by Sunday, which would see it surpass The Super Mario Bros.’ $100.2 million in 2012 as the post-pandemic best among final weekends of April.
Sinners’ spectacular hold-up is proof of the power of an A Cinemascore—unheard of among R-rated horror flicks. If Coogler is indeed following in the footsteps of Peele with Get Out, then a $250 million domestic run is in the cards. A 5.3x multiplier may seem too much to ask for, but Warner Bros. Executives and the movie's stakeholders would gladly disagree given the movie’s $90 million budget. The only thing that might betray that intent is an early shift to digital and streaming, a habit Warner Bros has recently formed. And that’s not even considering the arrival of new and bold competition this weekend in The Accountant 2 and Star Wars: The Revenge of the Sith 20th anniversary re-release. Analysts project the former to sport a $23 million opening and the latter, $18- $20 million.
As of this writing, Sinners has already dethroned Disney’s Snow White remake as the fourth-biggest movie of 2025 and is on its way to becoming just the third movie of the year to cross the $100 million threshold in the United States. It’s definitely heading into a profitable venture for Warner Bros.
- Release Date
- April 18, 2025
- Runtime
- 138 minutes
- Director
- Ryan Coogler
- Writers
- Ryan Coogler
- Producers
- Sev Ohanian, Zinzi Coogler
Cast
-
Michael B. JordanSmoke / Stack -
Hailee SteinfeldMary
WHERE TO WATCH
Source: Deadline