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See AllGenshin Impact: How The Pity System Works
> When a player "loses" the 50/50, there is a 5% chance that they will still obtain the featured event character. This is marked with a special animation. As a result, the 50/50 system should be thought of as a 55/45 system, where there is a 55% chance of obtaining the featured character, and a 45% chance of "losing."
The calculation is wrong here. This is a conditional probability and you can't just add the two probabilities. It's misleading. The correct probability of winning should be 52.5% and not 55%
Similarly the losing rate is 47.5%
Post by SL_Pirate